Monday, December 23, 2024

Oil eases on concerns over U.S.-China talks, weak economic data

Source: Reuters:


Oil prices slid on Tuesday as Washington’s blacklisting of more Chinese companies dampened hopes for a trade deal between the two countries, though unrest in Iraq and Ecuador lent some support to crude prices.

Oil eases on concerns over U.S.-China talks, weak economic data - oil and gas 360
REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo

Both Brent crude LCOc1 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) CLc1 crude had risen by more than 1% earlier in the day, but by 10:59 a.m. ET (1459 GMT) Brent was down 8 cents, or 0.1%, at $58.27 a barrel and WTI CLc1 was down 17 cents, or 0.3%, at $52.58.

Investors are treading cautiously before U.S.-China trade talks in Washington on Thursday, though prospects for progress dimmed after U.S. President Donald Trump said a quick trade deal was unlikely.

Washington is also moving ahead with discussions over possible restrictions on capital flows into China, with a focus on investments by U.S. government pension funds, Bloomberg reported.

“The (energy) complex will be forced to focus more succinctly on global oil demand deterioration as it negotiates through the monthly series of Agency reports the rest of this week,” Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates, said in a note.

“We are not ruling out a quick upward price reversal as comments out of the White House as well as China will be seeing increasing frequency with both Countries attempting to preclude any developments that might force further downward adjustments in the global economic growth path.”

Oil prices were also pressured by weak economic data after U.S. producer prices fell unexpectedly in September, weighed down by lower costs of goods and services, which could give the Federal Reserve room to cut interest rates again this month.

U.S. stocks fell more than 1% on Tuesday and the pan-European STOXX 600 index snapped a two-day winning streak to lose 1%.

“The market’s focus remains on trade tensions and oil demand concerns, ignoring the elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and lower OPEC production in September,” said UBS oil analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

“Growing recession risks have capped the upside of oil prices.”

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Crude inventories in the United States are expected to have grown for a fourth week while distillates and gasoline stocks are also likely to have fallen, a Reuters poll showed on Monday. [nL3N26S2OM]

However, protests in OPEC members Iraq and Ecuador threatened to disrupt their oil output and supported prices.

In Iraq, protests resumed overnight in Baghdad’s Sadr City district, though much of the country appeared quieter than it has been for a week.

“Unrest in Iraq gained a high profile at the start of October as a result of large protests in Baghdad,” RBC analyst Al Stanton said.

He said potential attacks by Turkey on Kurdish forces in northeast Syria could take place close to the Iraqi border, leading to “a refugee crisis that puts pressures on Kurdistan’s economy” and its oil production.

Turkey said it had completed preparations for a military operation in northeast Syria after the United States began pulling back troops.

Ecuador’s energy ministry said protests against austerity could reduce its oil output by 59,450 barrels per day.

Saudi Arabia reiterated on Tuesday that it was ready to meet global oil needs. Installations belonging to Saudi Aramco were attacked on Sept. 14, hitting output and triggering a spike in oil prices.

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